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The Maybe Pile Is Not Free: Six Decisions You're Parking Until January

Gareth Llewellyn
The Maybe Pile Is Not Free: Six Decisions You're Parking Until January

There's a particular kind of November optimism that sounds like this: 'We'll pick that up in January.' It's said over a coffee, in a WhatsApp group of local owners, or halfway through a meeting when someone mentions the lease. It feels sensible. December is busy. January is quiet. Why make a decision now?

The problem is that the maybe pile isn't a holding pen. It's a queue of small costs that keep ticking. Not always dramatic costs — we're not talking about a cliff edge — but the kind of steady drip that makes January feel heavier than it needs to be.

So here's a simple triage you can apply to six decisions that local owners commonly defer. For each one: decide, diarise or drop. Decide means make the call now and take the first step. Diarise means put a specific date in the diary with a named person and a first action — not 'review in January'. Drop means write it down as a deliberate no and stop carrying it around.

The triage: decide, diarise, drop

This isn't a productivity trick. It's a way of separating decisions that actually need December brainpower from ones that just need a date. Most of the maybe pile is made of three things: decisions that are uncomfortable, decisions that need a bit of information, and decisions that were never really yours to make.

A quick test: if you can't name the first physical action, it's not a decision yet. It's a worry. Worries don't belong on a to-do list; they belong in a conversation or a bin.

1. The pricing change you keep almost making

You know the one. You worked out in September that a modest rise would be fair. You mentioned it to one customer who shrugged. Then the Christmas rush arrived and the spreadsheet went back in the drawer.

Rough cost of delay: if your turnover is £200,000 and you're considering a 4% rise, that's £8,000 a year — about £660 a month. Six weeks of waiting is roughly £1,000 left on the table. Not fatal. But it's also six weeks of absorbing higher costs, which is the bit that stings in a low-margin trade.

Verdict: decide or drop. If you're not raising prices, say so out loud and stop half-planning it. If you are, pick the date and write the email before the Christmas do.

2. The first hire (or the first proper hire)

Hiring is the decision most likely to be pushed to January because it feels like a big door to walk through. But 'first hire' often hides a smaller question: do you need a person, or do you need ten hours a week of a specific task?

Rough cost of delay: suppose the role unlocks £3,000 a month of billable capacity and costs £2,400 a month all-in. Delaying six weeks costs around £600 in net contribution — plus whatever you personally stop doing because you're covering the gap. If you're turning down work, the real number is higher.

Verdict: diarise. Set a date in the first week of January to review the numbers, but do one thing now: write the job description. That single page tells you whether the role is real or whether you're just tired.

3. The lease renewal sitting in your inbox

Leases have a way of feeling like weather — something that happens to you. But the renewal date, the break clause and the service charge are all negotiable in different ways, and the clock matters more than the paperwork.

Rough cost of delay: if the renewal is £18,000 a year and waiting costs you a 3% worse deal, that's £540. Annoying, not catastrophic. The bigger cost is optionality. Six weeks of not asking is six weeks of not knowing whether you can afford the unit next door, or whether the landlord would rather have a reliable tenant than an empty month.

Verdict: decide. Not the whole lease — just the first question. Email the landlord or your solicitor this week and ask for the current service charge breakdown. That's a twenty-minute job.

4. The software switch that saves 'about £30 a month'

Every owner has one of these. The CRM that costs £79 a month when a £45 one would do. The booking system with the clunky invoice export. The switch gets parked because migration sounds like a weekend you don't have.

Rough cost of delay: £34 a month is £408 a year. Six weeks is about £50. That's not the real cost. The real cost is the staff hours spent wrestling with a tool that doesn't fit — often two or three hours a month across the team, which is £150–£250 in owner time. Add the annual price rise you'll absorb in April and the saving gets thinner.

Verdict: drop or diarise. If it's genuinely a £30-a-month decision, drop it and stop pretending it's strategic. If it's a £300-a-month decision in hidden hours, diarise a proper trial for the second week of January and put one person's name against it.

5. The marketing spend you can't quite justify

This is the local sponsorship, the magazine ad, the Christmas lights contribution, the networking group membership. You renew because you always have. You question it in November because the invoice lands before the results are obvious.

Rough cost of delay: if £500 a month brings two enquiries a month, and you close one in four at £1,000 a job, the six-week delay costs you roughly £750 in pipeline — but only if the channel is actually working. If it isn't, the delay saves you £750. That's the point: you can't know without a simple check.

Verdict: decide. Look at the last three months and count the enquiries that came directly from it. If you can't count them, drop it. If you can, decide now whether to renew — and ask for a local rate while you're at it.

6. The conversation with the supplier you've known for years

This is the hardest one to put a number on, which is why it gets parked. You've been overpaying by a small percentage for a while. Nothing dramatic. But every invoice reminds you, and the resentment compounds.

Rough cost of delay: if you're paying 6% over the odds on £30,000 of annual spend, that's £1,800 a year — £150 a month. Six weeks is about £225. The real cost is the conversation getting harder the longer you leave it, and the risk that you eventually blow up over something small.

Verdict: decide. Not the whole relationship — just the first sentence. 'I've been looking at the numbers and I think we need to talk about the rate' is enough to start. If you're not ready, diarise it for the first Tuesday in January and put it in the calendar as a proper meeting, not a phone call you'll postpone.

What to do before the Christmas do

You don't need to clear the whole maybe pile this month. That's not the point. Pick one decision from the six above and move it from maybe to a date. The rest can wait — but they should wait on purpose, with a named action and a real diary entry, not in the soft fog of 'January'.

The cost of delay isn't usually a dramatic loss. It's a thousand small leakages: a price rise not taken, a hire not started, a lease question not asked, a supplier conversation not had. None of them will sink you. Together, they explain why January sometimes feels like you're starting behind.

So before the Christmas do, write down the six. Mark each one decide, diarise or drop. Then put the diarised ones in the calendar and forget about them until the date. The maybe pile is not free. But it's also not infinite. A little sorting now makes for a quieter January — and a clearer head when the VAT return lands.

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